65th International Atlantic Economic Conference

April 09 - 13, 2008 | Warsaw, Poland

Government Size, Composition, Volatility and Economic Growth

Friday, 11 April 2008: 08:30
António Afonso, Ph.D. , Economics, ISEG/UTL and ECB, Frankfurt am Main, Germany
Davide Furceri, Ph.D. , University of Illinois at Chicago, Chicago, IL
This paper analyses the effects in terms of size and volatility of government revenue and spending on growth in OECD and EU countries. The results of the paper suggest that both variables are detrimental to growth. In particular, looking more closely at the effect of each component of government revenue and spending, the results point out that i) indirect taxes (size and volatility); ii) social contributions (size and volatility); iii) government consumption (size and volatility); iv) subsidies (size); and v) government investment (volatility) have a sizeable, negative and statistically significant effect on growth.