73rd International Atlantic Economic Conference

March 28 - 31, 2012 | Istanbul, Turkey

Fiscal policy and lending relationships

Saturday, 31 March 2012: 5:05 PM
Giovanni Melina, PhD , Economics, International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC
Stefania Villa, MSc , Economics, Birkbeck, University of London, London, United Kingdom
This paper studies how fiscal policy affects credit market conditions. First, it conducts a FAVAR analysis showing that the credit spread responds negatively to an expansionary government spending shock, while consumption, investment, and lending increase. Second, it illustrates that these results are not mimicked by a DSGE model where the credit spread is endogenized via the inclusion of a banking sector exploiting lending relationships. Third, it demonstrates that introducing deep habits in private and government consumption makes the model able to replicate empirics. Sensitivity checks and extensions show that core results hold for a number of model calibrations and specifications. The presence of banks exploiting lending relationships generates a financial accelerator effect in the transmission of fiscal shocks.