73rd International Atlantic Economic Conference

March 28 - 31, 2012 | Istanbul, Turkey

Macroeconomic policy, current accounts, and exchange rate dynamics with habit formation

Saturday, 31 March 2012: 9:10 AM
Ichiro Gombi, Ph.D. , Faculty of Economics, Ritsumeikan University, Kusatsu, Shiga, Japan
Shinsuke Ikeda, Ph.D. , The Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University, Ibaraki, Osaka, Japan
By incorporating habits over consumption and over money holdings into a small country model, we examine the dynamic adjustment of the current account and the exchange rate to monetary and fiscal policies in two alternative policy regimes: (i) the endogenous income transfer regime; and (ii) the endogenous fiscal spending regime. In response to the policies, the exchange rate depreciates on impact and in the long run whereas one depreciates (appreciates) in transition if preferences for real money balances exhibit adjacent (distant) complementarity. In regime (ii), the habits over consumption and real money balances jointly generate possibly non-monotonic current account dynamics. An induced increase in fiscal spending can cause current account surplus under strong distant complementarity of real money balances.