monetary union? Reforms in 2005 weakened the Stability and Growth Pact in Europe, providing
evidence that policy rules may ultimately never bind, and suggesting an alternative to a rules
based approach is necessary. According to the credit market discipline hypothesis, the market is a
viable alternative: greater government spending and borrowing will increase interest rates, which
will exert pressure on governments to reduce borrowing and spending. This paper uses U.S. state
data to empirically investigate government consumption responses to changes in interest rates.