This presentation is part of: O50-1 Country Studies

Does Subprime Mortgage Cause Foreclosure? An Empirical Investigation

Muhamed Mustafa, Pf., .D, Economics, South Carolina State University, South Carolina State University, Orangeburg, SC 29117

In January 2008 report Center for Responsible Lending (CRL project that 40.6 million neighboring homes will experience devaluation because of subprime foreclosures that take place nearby; the total decline in house values and tax base from nearby foreclosures will be $202 billion; and the homeowners living near foreclosed properties will see their property values decrease $5,000 on average.
   This paper examines the dynamic causal linkages between subprime mortgage financing and foreclosure. This paper uses panel cointrgration cointegration techniques and U.S.  pool cross-sectional and time series data for the period 2005 and 2006.. The findings of this study are expected to enhance our understanding of their inter-relations. An appreciation of macroeconomic dynamics of stock market, housing market, and consumer spending can shed light on the markets’ response to monetary policy, providing the Federal Reserve System the much-needed wherewithal.