69th International Atlantic Economic Conference

March 24 - 27, 2010 | Prague, Czech Republic

The International Oil Price Movements and the Stock Market Linkages in a Small EU Economy

Friday, 26 March 2010: 17:25
Andreas Ektor Lake, MSc , Economics, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Thessaloniki, Greece
Costas Katrakilidis, Ph.D. , Economics, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Thessaloniki, Greece
Dimitris Mardas, PhD , Economics, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Thessaloniki, Greece
We investigate the linkages between oil prices and the stock market behaviour in a small and oil dependent economy. We analyse the relationships among stock market returns, the volatility of the stock market index, the oil price and the volatility of oil price in Greece. We employ VAR modelling in conjunction with Granger-causality tests. Our results suugest the the existence of significant positive causal effects from oil price changes on the stock market.