74th International Atlantic Economic Conference

October 04 - 07, 2012 | Montréal, Canada

An analysis of the current financial problems of Italy and Spain

Friday, October 5, 2012: 3:20 PM
Ron Christner, PhD. , Finance, Loyola University New Orleans, New Orleans, LA
                                                                                  An Analysis of theFinancial Problems of Italy and Spain

Objectives: An evaluation and Analysis of how Italy and Spain can avoid defaults on their government bonds,

similar to what has happened in Greece and Portugal. The objective is to propose a plan to avoid default without

causing an economic recession in the two countries.

The methodology  and results will include an analysis of the current economic situation in the two countries vis a vis those of the

other major western European countries and the necessary policy steps for them to avoid default. It will include a comparative analysis of

major economic variables including 10 year government bond rates, deficit spending, and debt levels as a percentage of GDP as well as the interconnection

and interdependence among creditor and debtor countries in the Euro currency block. This includes the Italian and Spanish levels of debt

 held by the respective banks in the other European countries and the possible impact on those banks of an Italian or Spanish government default.