305
Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles and Savings

Sunday, October 13, 2013: 9:00 AM-11:00 AM
Chair:
Azhar Iqbal, Wells Fargo Securities, LLC—USA
A multinomial approach to predicting the probability of inflation/deflation
John Silvia, Wells Fargo Securities, LLC—USA; Azhar Iqbal, Wells Fargo Securities, LLC—USA
The yield curve and business cycle forecasting in a support vector machines framework
Periklis Gogas, Democritus University of Thrace—Greece; Efthymia Chrysanthidou, Democritus University of Thrace—Greece; Theophilos Papadimitriou, Democritus University of Thrace—Greece
Lobby for benefits: Information-driven policy uncertainty and sectoral misallocation
Tanida Arayavechkit, University of Pennsylvania—USA; Felipe Saffie, University of Pennsylvania—USA; Minchul Shin, University of Pennsylvania—USA
Business cycle shocks
Charles Swanson, Temple Univ.—USA
Reexamine the u.s. household saving
I-Ming Chiu, Rutgers University-Camden—USA
Discussants:
Charles Swanson, Temple Univ.—USA ; Robert Sonora, Fort Lewis College—USA ; Fatma Abdel-Raouf, Goldey-Beacom College—USA ; Tanida Arayavechkit, University of Pennsylvania—USA and Azhar Iqbal, Wells Fargo Securities, LLC—USA
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