72nd International Atlantic Economic Conference

October 20 - 23, 2011 | Washington, USA

Multivariate receptor modelling to estimate fingerprints of the sources of pollution

Saturday, 22 October 2011: 5:15 PM
José-María Montero Lorenzo, Ph.D. , Statistics, University of Castile-La Mancha, Toledo, Spain
Pablo Nigra Sr., Ph.D , Purdue University, Uruguay
We analyse environmental data collected by a number of stations located in Madrid area. The data are given in the form of concentrations of pollutants, which correspond to micro-particles and various chemical species. We use a multivariate receptor model to estimate the fingerprints of the sources and the amounts of pollution. The data collected over time at each station exhibit correlations in a regular way, due to meteorology. Therefore, we model the temporal dependence of the data by using a time series approach. To estimate parameters and uncertainties, we use the Markov Chain Monte Carlo method.